Tuesday, March 28, 2023

Economics: What The Antitrust Zealots Really Want


 (Drivebycuriosity) - There is a lot ado about antitrust.  Amy Klobuchar and other US senators are pushing several bills which would restrain Big Tech and a lot of other businesses. Two mighty authorities, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and the Antitrust Division of the Department of Justice (DOJ), are suing Amazon, Microsoft, Apple & Google and a lot of other companies based on alleged monopolist practices.

The antitrust crusade gets a lot support from the media, especially New York Times, Washington Post, The New Yorker, NPR & The Atlantic. Left-leaning organizations like the Open Markets Institute and other antitrust activists are fanning an anti-business climate on social media and in the public.


                   Fundamental Change

The antitrust zealots are known as Neo-Brandeisians (after Supreme Court Justice Louis Brandeis, 1916-1939). They are working on a fundamental change of America´s economic structure and try to expand the role of the government in the U.S. economy significantly.

( pbwt.com dailyjournal promarket reason).

 

 


The Neo-Brandeisians represent a Marxist ideology writes FTC-commissioner Christine S. Wilson, who resigns at end of this month (ftc.gov ). They aim for a socialist society, where the means of production is controlled by the state. In such a society planning will substitute for competition as the economy’s steering mechanism. The zealots prefer "that the government, rather than the private sector, orchestrates the functioning of the economy".

The Neo-Brandeisans want to replace the market process of supply and demand by a continuously regulated environment where market outcomes are constantly being reviewed by bureaucrats who don`t understand economics and ignore history (truthonthemarket ).
 

Antitrust focused in the recent decades on consumer welfare. The antitrust enforcers sought to protect the consumers, for instance against unjustified price hikes. Neo-Brandeisians like FTC chair Lina Khan instead want to abandon consumer welfare and replace it with broader goals. Sandeep Vaheesan, director of the left-leaning Open Markets Institute and a former colleague and co-author of  Lina Khan, declared consumer welfare as "nonsense" ( sagepub  law.columbia).

Instead of fighting against price hikes Khan & Co. fight against low prices! The antitrust zealots claim that low prices destroy competition, hurt workers and ruin the environment ( vox ). 

 

             Political & Social Goals 

The zealots want to expand the targets of antitrust policy. They intend to fix issues like underemployment, income disparity, political power, and wealth accumulation (thehill ). 

FTC chair Lina Khan argued that antitrust must be reconfigured toward the redistribution of economic and political power and away from concerns regarding price (lpeproject  realclearpolicy). FTC commissioner Rebecca Slaughter demands that “antitrust should be used to accomplish political and social goals including racial equitiy” ( thecentersquare  crowell). She declared that "antitrust can and should be deployed in the fight against racism" (ftc.gov ).

The antitrust zealots - lead by Khan´s FTC & the DOJ - view large companies as evil and are fighting them with law suits and restrictions. Joe Lonsdale calls the FTC "a radical, intellectually lazy form of anticapitalism based on a view that anything done by big companies must be bad because they're big" ( blog.joelonsdale).

Mighty FTC & DOJ are suing against almost any merger by a big company, even when it reduces costs and creates efficiency gains. Former Biden adviser Tim Wu claims, that efficiencies (caused by large size or created by mergers) are bad. He also sees factors like "productivity, declining costs, and cheapening of commodities" as bad for the society ( reason).  

FTC commissioner Alvaro Bedoya wants to punish stores for providing the lowest possible prices to consumers (CarlSzabo ). Bedoya also claims that efficiency is unfair because efficient companies hurt inefficient competitors (ftc.gov ). 

Some activists even regard consume as vulgar and bad for the planet ( vox.com).

 

          Ignoring History & Basic Economics

 

FTC chair Lina Khan seems to be the Jeanne d'Arc of the antitrust zealots. Her fame started 2017 when she - then still a law school student -  published an anti-Amazon paper ((yalelawjournal reason ). 

She claims that Amazon will become a monopoly because Amazon`s prices are "too low" (!) which will drive competitors out of business and will hinder potential competitors to emerge. Her accusations are based on foul premises, ignoring history and basic economics ( itif.org).

The Khan ignores Walmart`s fast growing online business, the rise of e-commerce platforms like Overstock, Shopify, Wayfair, Etsy & Ebay and the advance of myriads of other online shops - and the growing importance of foreign competitors like Alibaba, Mercado Libre & Rakuten. 

The Khan also claims that Amazon - after becoming a monopolist - could hike prices again. She neglects that Amazon`s alleged monopolistic profits would attract new competitors which would destroy the monopoly. 

Nevertheless, in 2021 President Biden announced Khan, who had worked interimly in left-leaning organizations, chair of the FTC, blindsiding the Congress (inside ).


                       Communist Manifest

Since taking the command of the FTC the Khan has swiftly consolidated her power and undermined the Congressionally-mandated Commission structure. She is abusing her powerful position "to make new law, invent bizarre market definitions and limitations, and expand the reach of any government agency" (inc.com twitter).  

With her command-and-control style approach the Khan fundamentally changed the FTC and how America approaches competition & industrial policy (truthonthemarket   twitter). The Khan claims that she has the "Rule Making Authority" and that she can decide what is & isn't "unfair competitive conduct" ( ftc.gov    twitter  uschamber ). 

Khan`s  5-years plan (released 2022) reads like a Communist Manifest (ftc.gov ). It includes support equity for historically underserved communities, which include Black Americans, Latinos, members of religious minorities, lesbian, gay, bisexual, and persons adversely affected by persistent poverty or inequality. Apparently Khan`s antitrust focuses on race and income inequality, following Karin Slaugther`s ideas who promotes that antitrust is about equality (crowell ).

The Khan uses her powerful position for a crusade against business, especially against Big Tech. According to her "tech companies have become the kinds of monopolies we last saw in the era of oil barons and railroad tycoons." (npr ) What about the intense competition between Meta, Apple, Microsoft & Google? Each of them tries to win over the customers of the competitors.

 

 


 

The Khan claimed publicly, that Amazon is "guilty of antitrust violations and should be broken up." (yalejreg.com wsj.com). Khan`s FTC is now working on a half dozens of complaints and law suits against the company (politico ). 

The Khan also started a feud against Meta, the mother of Facebook, stupidly claiming that Facebook is a monopoly (bbc ). This accusation is as ill fetched as the Amazon monopoly claim. Meta`s stock market capitalization shrank temporarily more than 70% because the corporation is losing users to up-and-coming competitors like TikTok & Snapchat. 

Facebook & Instagram are financed by advertisements and are therefore competing against other media corporations like Twitter, Google, News Corp, Apple, Paramount etc.

The FTC sued Meta, Microsoft, Altria, Illumina and other companies for alleged monopolistic practices. The Khan lost most of her law suits so far because courts disagree with Khan`s radicalism, but she doesn`t care, the suits cost tax payer`s money, not hers.

 

                    Exodus AT The FTC

Since Twitter is owned by Elon Musk the FTC is orchestrating an aggressive campaign against Twitter because the entrepreneur is not popular with the Democrats and the Biden Administration. "The agency sent more than a dozen letters to Twitter in a span of 10 weeks that contained more than 350 specific demands, thus creating a "substantial burden on the company's operations." ( npr.org).
 

Khan´s radical course lead already to an exodus at the FTC. 99 senior-level career attorneys left the agency between 2021 and 2022 ( bloomberg). The Khan has begun to replace them with radicals from left-leaning organizations, accelerating so the left-shift of the authority.

 

                     Kafkaesque System 

 

If the zealots get their will the US economy will be ruled by unelected bureaucrats who are economic illiterate and ignorant of history - a system which reminds of Kafka`s novel "The Castle" ("Das Schloss") where anonymous mighty bureaucrats make the decisions.

The antitrust zealots are aiming for a dictatorship of bureaucrats, which would punish merits, diligence, risk taking etc (they are calling merits "unfair"). 

The radicalization of Khan`s FTC is a step to central planning and would lead to a waste of resources what we could learn from the breakdown of Soviet era central planning systems & the decline of Cuba, Venezuela & North Korea. Central planning is dysfunctional - it never functioned in history. 

The antitrust zealots started a war on business. Their crusade is throwing sand into the gears of the US economy, slowing economic growth, handicapping the US in the competition with China and reducing the living standard of everybody by hiking prices and diminishing services.

 

 

Sunday, March 26, 2023

Contemporary Art: In A Certain Light @ Gallery Shrine New York


  (Drivebycuriosity) - Contemporary art is full of discoveries. On a walk on East Broadway in Manhattan`s East Village I past Shrine, an art gallery which was unknown to me. They exhibit works by 2 artists. This post is about  Loren Erich`s spooky ghost-like paintings. The show is called: "In a certain light" ( shrine)

 

On top of this post you can see “Dirt” (2022, water, raw pigment, dye, acrylic, bleach and colored pencil on muslin, 56 x 52 in)

The press release explains: "The Water is the primary vehicle and collaborator in Loren Erdrich’s paintings. Her atmospheric works are created using thin muslin that is fully drenched with water before various dyes and raw pigments are added to conjure her images. Erdrich helps define and direct her scenes, but she is also at the mercy of the fluid binder that infuses her works with life and form". 

 




 

The press release continues: "Often working on both sides of the muslin before stretching it, Erdrich’s washes penetrate the fabric resulting in unexpected patterns and markings, and reverse-bleed images that further heighten the dreamy aspect of her paintings.

 



 

 

To be continued

Saturday, March 25, 2023

Books: The Disappareance Of Signora Guila By Piero Chiara


  (Drivebycuriosity) - Sometimes I am in the mood for old fashioned slow paced crime mysteries. "The Disappareance Of Signora Guila" by Piero Chiara belongs to them ( amazon). The novella (just about 100 pages) is set in Italy in the 1950s at Lago di Como, a lake shared by Italy & Switzerland.

The wife of a lawyer had disappeared. The husband asks a befriended "Commissario" for help. This starts a series of events (this is a spoiler free blog).

Being born & raised in post-war Germany I find Italy`s culture in the 1950s rather exotic, at least as it is described in books & movies. Chiara narrates cultural habits and a law structure which seem exotic to me, but also interesting. Italy in the 1950s was apparently very conservative and Catholic. What happened in this fiction might not be possible in any other country.

"The Disappareance" is a kind of a law drama, or is it a farce? Anyway, Chiara tells about sometimes ridiculous relations between lawyer, clients & police. The use of the law - as told in this novella - appears absurd today , but also amusing. And the ending is very unusual.

The book is ok, but I liked another novel by Chiara better: "The Bishops bedroom" (my review ).

Thursday, March 23, 2023

Contemporary Art: Diasphoric Identity And More @ Morgan Presents New York


 (Drivebycuriosity) - Manhattan`s Lower East Side is slowly degenerating into a party district with a legion of fast food places & other dives. But there could be still some fine art discovered.  

Morgan Presents, an exhibition space on Suffolk street, belongs to the stalwarts of culture, and is worth a visit. The place is founded and directed by Morgan Aguiar-Lucander ( about).

 


On top of this post you can see Walter Robinson`s
"Tequila" (2022, Acrylic on canvas, 40 x 60 inches, 101.6 x 152.4 cm) followed by his "Yellow River" (2022,
Acrylic on canvas, 60 x 60 inches, 152.4 x 152.4 cm).

 

 



Above this paragraph follow 4 abstracts: Cora Cohen`s "Diasphoric Identity" (2004, Acrylic, charcoal, copper, oil, oil pastel, pastel, pigment on muslin, 69 x 71 inches, 175.3 x 180.3 cm) followed by her "What is This About?" (2008, Oil on linen, 29 x 44 inches.73.7 x 111.8 cm); Jean-Baptiste Bernadet`s  "Untitled (Winter)" (2019, Oil on canvas, 59 1/8 x 51 1/8 inches, 150 x 130 cm) & Cora Cohen`s "Informal Volition" (1992, Watercolor, acrylic, enamel, polyurethane, copper, mica pigment on linen, 48 x 32 inches,121.9 x 81.3 cm)

To be continued




 

Tuesday, March 21, 2023

Economics: Why The Fed Should Cut Her Interest Rates Tomorrow


 (Drivebycuriosity) - Many expect in order to fight inflation
the Federal Reserve will hike her interest rates tomorrow. The Fed has an inflation target of 2%.

I disagree. I think the Fed should decide for an interest rate cut, maybe of a quarter percent point. I see 3 reasons for that.

 


 ( source)

 


 ( source)

1. Inflation has peaked and is dropping swiftly. Whole sale inflation, the growth rate of producer prices, is even falling faster.

 

(source )


 

 (source )

 

2. Monetary growth - the engine of the inflation - peaked already February 2021 (with plus 27%). Since then the monetary growth rates have been falling and turned negative in December 2022. In the recent months the money supply was shrinking! "We have never seen money taken out of the economy like this in our history" ( twitter.com).

Today`s high inflation rate was caused by a flood of money in the past. In 2020 & 2021 the US government flooded the economy with stimulus checks in the value of trillions of dollars (American Rescue Plan), supported by huge bond purchases by the Federal Reserve. The government money landed directly on the bank accounts of the Americans, blowing up the money volume M2 (bank notes & coins & deposits at banks).

Over two years the US money volume M2 jumped about 40% as a result. The money deluge met a constraint supply of goods & services, partly because of Covid19. It is no surprise that prices increased so much (marginalrevolution).

The causal connection between money and inflation is known since the 16th century at least. Nicolaus Copernicus described already in the year 1522 how "too much money" causes inflation. His "quantity theory of money" is based on observations:

The Spaniards had conquered today`s Latin America and looted the silver stocks. They send the precious metal to Europe where is was used as money. As a result the European money volume jumped, meeting a restrained supply of goods (agriculture, hand works) &  services. The flood of money raised suddenly the demand for scarce goods & services and caused a rise of the price level.

Milton Friedman, Karl Brunner, Allan Meltzer and other economists described already in the 1960s the causal  connection between money and inflation.

 

3. The banking crisis was partly caused by the sharp rise of interest rates, which send prices of bonds south. Banks, who used a large part of their customer`s deposits to buy huge amounts of bonds, made high losses (bad risk management). Bank customers lost their trust in some banks and demanded their deposits back.   

If the Fed would tomorrow announce an end of the interest rate hikes - or even better a cut - the authority would give the banks some relief and strengthen the fragile sentiment on the financial markets.

Fingers crossed.

Saturday, March 18, 2023

Books: Helgoland - Making Sense Of The Quantum Revolution


 (Drivebycuriosity) - I like to read books & articles about Quantum physics. In don`t understand it, but I am fascinated by all the strange phenomena. I just finished "Helgoland: Making Sense of the Quantum Revolution" by Carlo Rovelli (amazon ). The Italian author belongs to the leading theoretical physicists.

The book is not an introduction. There are other books which describe the basic ideas and phenomenons for laymen, for instance "Quantum Theory - “A Very Short Introduction” by John Polkinghorne ( amazon.). Rovelli´s book is more a meditation than a description of quantum mechanics. 

The author defines Quantum Theory as "the theory of how things influence each other" and as "a theory that is at the center of the obscurity of science". Rovelli adds "taking Quantum seriously, reflecting on its implications, is an almost psychedelic experience".

The book´s title refers to an island north of the German coast, where Werner Heisenberg spend some time and developed his basic ideas which belong to the fundamentals of today´s physics.  Rovelli dives into the history of Quantum theory and sketches the contributions of Einstein, Mach, Heisenberg, Dirac, Schrödinger, Bohr and many more. He also mentions influences of the German novelist Robert Musil and even from Russian bolshevists like Lenin.

The text is mainly philosophical and strongly influenced by ancient texts written by the Buddhist philosopher Nāgārjuna (wikipedia ). According to Nāgārjuna (in the interpretation by Rovelli) "nothing exists in itself, everything exists only through dependence on something else, in relation to something else". In one word: "emptiness".

I did not understand much, but the book gives me a lot food for thought.

Thursday, March 16, 2023

Contemporary Art: Annie Belinsky @ Gallery Rachel Uffner New York


 (Drivebycuriosity) - Do you like flamboyant abstracts? Gallery Rachel Uffner in Manhattan`s Lower East Side shows the elegant works by Annie Belinsky. The Exhibition is called "Agita" (racheluffner )

 

On top of this post you can see "Bodybuilder" (2023, acrylic, ink, wax crayon, paracord, thread on canvas, 66 x 55 x 1 3/4 in. (167.6 x 139.7 x 4.4 cm)) 





Above you can see "My Gut" (2022, acrylic, ink, marker, wax crayon, paracord, thread on canvas, 66 x 55 x 1 3/4 in (139.7 x 167.6 x 4.4 cm)) followed by "Lipsticked" (2023, acrylic, ink, wax crayon, marker on canvas, 28 x 24 in (71.1 x 61 cm))

 



Above follow "Kissing Cousins Caving" (2022, acrylic, ink, wax crayon, marker on canvas, 66 x 55 x 1 3/4 in (167.6 x 139.7 x 4.4 cm)) & "Florida Agita" (2023, acrylic, oil stick, oil, wax crayon, marker on canvas, 66 x 55 x 1 3/4 in (167.6 x 139.7 x 4.4 cm))


To be continued

Wednesday, March 15, 2023

Contemporary Art: J. Cariono`s Genesis @ Auxier Kline New York


 (Drivebycuriosity) - New York`s Chinatown is gentrifying. New art galleries are popping out of the ground like mushrooms in autumn. Gallery Auxier Kline presents paintings by J. Carino, the show is galled "Genesis" ( auxierkline).

 

 

I like the powrful flamboyant brush strokes which remind me of German expressionism from the 1920s.

 

To be continued